The result of the EU constitutional treaty referendum is far from a foregone conclusion - according to Will Hutton in the Observer earlier this month, who suggests nine reasons why we might get a positive result:

The pros start today only two per cent behind. This referendum can be won. If so, it will be one of the sweetest moments in British politics for years, cementing a progressive consensus and Britain's membership of the European Union alike. Tony Blair, famously a lucky politician, may be about to get lucky again.