Why May can’t settle on the money 

The so-called Brexit bill – in fact a calculation to be made of the UK’s share of projects that we have already agreed to – is something that Theresa May cannot settle because of a deliberate strategy of the hard line Brexiteers on the right wing of her party.

They are in a panic because opinion polls are showing that public opinion has not rallied, as expected, behind Brexit. If anything, it is edging the other way and could well go further as the chaos, confusion and economic damage of the Tory Brexitshambles becomes more and more apparent.

The Brexiteers therefore want to have a row about money, and keep it going as long as possible.

They calculate that this is a subject they can portray as a grasping EU trying to blackmail Britain into paying an unwarranted exit fee. They rely on the complexity of the issue which they hope will deter people from looking beyond the headlines. The tried and tested tactic of Blaming Brussels will, they hope, deflect public disquiet away from them and lessen calls for a rethink on Brexit itself.

In her Florence speech, Theresa May said “The UK will honour commitments we have made during the period of our membership.”

But she has still failed to settle because of the opposition from the Brexit Brigade. This in turn holds up the negotiations on other issues – the sequencing accepted by David Davis at the very first negotiating meeting was to settle “divorce” issues before moving on to the much more important issues of the future relationship.

Meanwhile, the clock is ticking…

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  1. I predict that Mrs May will resign on health grounds (Type 1 diabetic) within six months. At the moment the shock troops of a hard Brexit sense a wonderful opportunity to bounce this country into a low wage, low regulation, gordon gekko little USA style off-shore tax haven. Mrs May is no longer in control of ‘negotiations’ or the government. She has been humiliated by Boris who when in Libya publicly criticised her and occasionally contradicts her! Nobody mention the divorce bill – it is a sum that dare not speak its quantity!

  2. Very good analysis. This is mostly portrayed as a stalemate because of the money; in fact, the EU is just as concerned about citizens’ rights and Northern Ireland. But that wouldn’t be half so useful when trying to posture as victims of the “evil EU” picking on poor little Britain.

  3. In the scale of things, the money has no role to play. Teresa May is in a position that nobody would want to be in, whether to walk away from one of the most prestigious jobs in the world or remain, at the behest of people who will use her for their own ends. She would be better advised to look after herself, rather than be a victim of the pressure that the coming Brexit negotiations will bring.

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